The election of Cheri Beasley in North Carolina may be the difference between a Democratic or Republican senate.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 388 | November 8, 2022 9:03 PM |
If the Republicans take over the Senate that will be the end of Biden's appointment of any judges. All vacancies will be held until after the 2024 election and look what those Trump judges have given us.
| by Anonymous | reply 1 | September 28, 2022 2:58 PM |
Nevadan here. I am worried about Cortez-Masto losing her Senate seat. Adam Laxalt is a real, royal piece of shit and MAGA fanboy. It would be bad to lose her--she's not a flaming liberal AOC type, but puts the work in to get legislation passed.
I just hope people get out and vote, especially women.
| by Anonymous | reply 2 | September 28, 2022 3:04 PM |
Wisconsin looks like a loss of a golden opportunity for a pickup. Mandela Barnes may be the only candidate who could’ve lost to Ron Johnson. And he was effectively anointed the nomination when his opponents dropped out, coalescing support for the thus never-vetted, largely unknown, Lt. Governor.
| by Anonymous | reply 3 | September 28, 2022 3:32 PM |
Tim Ryan is a good guy, period. I've met him a few times over the past 20 years. He's genuine. He's from my neck of the woods in NE Ohio.
If he really wanted to strike back at his R opponent, he could easily do a quick montage of all the houses and neighborhoods that still have tRump signs up in front their houses two years after the election. A majority of these are in rundown areas, and I guarantee you none of them are people of color. They still have "Don't tread on me" flags and confederate flags hanging from their houses. This is pure white racist trash wallowing in their own shit and stupidity.
| by Anonymous | reply 5 | September 28, 2022 9:17 PM |
Unfortunately, Ohio has become so reliably red that, even with a Democratic candidate perfect for that state & a less than ideal Republican nominee, it doesn’t even make the list of the top 7 Senate seats likely to flip.
| by Anonymous | reply 6 | September 28, 2022 9:58 PM |
Independent Evan McMullin would be a great win in Utah over Mike Lee. Although he said he wouldn’t caucus with either party, taking a sure Republican seat of one who would organize with the Republicans could be critical in who controls the next Senate.
| by Anonymous | reply 7 | September 28, 2022 10:05 PM |
If the Republicans don’t take back the Senate, they can thank their Orange Jesus. Not only will it be because he was responsible for getting nominated unelectable candidates, but keeping electable candidates, e.g., Sununu (NH), Ducey (AZ), from running.
| by Anonymous | reply 8 | September 28, 2022 10:48 PM |
Walker is a terrible candidate, but his saving grace might be Brian Kemp. The incumbent governor has a fairly big lead over Stacey Abrams, who (like Charlie Crist in Florida) seems determined to do everything she can to sabotage her own campaign). If Kemp wins big, I can't picture massive ticket-splitting going on.
| by Anonymous | reply 9 | September 28, 2022 11:53 PM |
[quote] Walker is a terrible candidate, but his saving grace might be Brian Kemp.
And don't discount that he is a football hero in a state where football is God.
| by Anonymous | reply 10 | September 29, 2022 12:03 AM |
Where are the Georgians who put Warnock in Congress?! How is Walker a threat?
| by Anonymous | reply 11 | September 29, 2022 12:12 AM |
R11, keep in mind that Warnock trailed Loeffler in the 2020 general election but kept her from getting to the requisite 50%, resulting in the 1/5 run-off election. Loeffler - & Perdue - suffered then when Trump effectively discouraged a number of Republicans from voting by claiming the vote was rigged against them.
| by Anonymous | reply 12 | September 29, 2022 12:26 AM |
It's all gonna depend on the state of the economy, which isn't looking good now, let alone November.
| by Anonymous | reply 13 | September 29, 2022 1:04 AM |
r9 If the vote split is tough to happen, then we are in good position to win Wisconsin seat as the dem Governor is leading with a healthy margin against his Republican opponent and the polls between Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson are neck to neck.
Interesting to see what's going to happen in Nevada where incumbent governor and incumbent Senator , both democrats, have had bad polls against their republican opponents recently.
| by Anonymous | reply 14 | September 29, 2022 1:38 AM |
Have there been any polls since August showing Barnes in the lead? The very respected Marquette Poll had Barnes up by 7 in August, but their most recent poll had him down by 1.
| by Anonymous | reply 15 | September 29, 2022 1:54 AM |
Nevada is the one most likely to flip red—agree with you guys^.
There’s a decent chance for winning 5 or 6 of those races, IMHO. Of course the House is a goner (recent rumblings to the effect that the generic polling lead has hit peak blue and is trending a bit downward). But, then also look at governors’ races—there’s some brighter polling for now.
| by Anonymous | reply 16 | September 29, 2022 2:26 AM |
r15 Yes, all these polls in the last 1 month or so, from the most recent to least
Public Policy Polling (rated A-)
Barnes 47%
Johnson 47%
Trafalgar Group
Barnes 47%
Johnson 49%
Emerson College (rated A-)
Barnes 44%
Johnson 48%
Siena College (rated A)
Barnes 48%
Johnson 47%
Civiqs (rated B-)
Barnes 48%
Johnson 49%
| by Anonymous | reply 17 | September 29, 2022 2:31 AM |
*NOTE TO ALL: recent history tells us that there is a distinct pattern of Republican candidates overperforming vs. polling in state/local races.
And, that the two parties are essentially “deadlocked” in aggregate support nationwide (very few truly independent or undecided voters in this era); it has become a raw battle for greater turnout. Not dissimilar to the state of play in the post-Reconstruction era / Gilded Age.
| by Anonymous | reply 18 | September 29, 2022 2:45 AM |
Hershel Walker is borderline retarded/brain dead. On what planet is he 50/50 with Raphael Warnock?
| by Anonymous | reply 19 | September 29, 2022 3:38 AM |
R19, the polls (legitimate ones) have him neck and neck with Warnock.
| by Anonymous | reply 20 | September 29, 2022 3:45 AM |
always annoys me how R's are more likely to pull out surprise wins than Democrats. Even Herschel Walker may win. Fetterman may win by only a few points. Nevada may flip to the Republicans.
Dems just cant get to 50% plus one in so many states where they are theoretically competitive.
| by Anonymous | reply 21 | September 29, 2022 6:07 AM |
In our very tribal society, R19. He does have an “R” next to his name.
| by Anonymous | reply 22 | September 29, 2022 6:18 AM |
R20, sorry I meant that it was really screwed up that the race was close. I should've made that more clear in my comment. Some Americans are really fucking stupid.
| by Anonymous | reply 23 | September 29, 2022 1:29 PM |
The Fox News Poll ("A"-rated by FiveThirtyEight) now has Warnock up by 4 (with Kemp up by 7).
| by Anonymous | reply 24 | September 29, 2022 7:08 PM |
Fox News also has Fetterman up by 4 (he was up by 11 in its last, July, poll).
| by Anonymous | reply 25 | September 29, 2022 7:11 PM |
Does anyone take Fox polls seriously?
| by Anonymous | reply 26 | September 29, 2022 8:00 PM |
R26 yes. the polls are actually some of the best in the country.
| by Anonymous | reply 27 | September 29, 2022 8:08 PM |
^ The Fox poll & its election analytics team - the first to put Arizona in Biden’s camp - are, surprisingly, highly regarded. As noted above, FiveThirtyEight gives the Fox Poll an “A” grade.
| by Anonymous | reply 28 | September 29, 2022 8:52 PM |
It is a plus that, even in an unusually good environment for them, historically & otherwise, the republicans don't have these races locked up at this juncture.
| by Anonymous | reply 29 | October 3, 2022 3:41 PM |
FLORIDA new Siena College / Spectrum poll shows DeSantis, Rubio leading Florida Governor DeSantis (R): 49% Crist (D): 41% FL Senate Rubio (R): 48% Demmings (D): 41%
| by Anonymous | reply 30 | October 3, 2022 3:43 PM |
R26, yes, Fox Polls have been very accurate
| by Anonymous | reply 31 | October 3, 2022 3:44 PM |
“ always annoys me how R's are more likely to pull out surprise wins than Democrats. Even Herschel Walker may win. Fetterman may win by only a few points. Nevada may flip to the Republicans.
Dems just cant get to 50% plus one in so many states where they are theoretically competitive.”
Republicans and conservatives always vote. Always. And pollsters consistently underestimate how many conservatives will turn out to vote. Democrats always have to fret their voters will not vote
| by Anonymous | reply 32 | October 3, 2022 3:45 PM |
We have a good candidate in Louisiana going against Kennedy (Luke Mixon) but he must not be getting support/money from the party. He's very active on Facebook, but I haven't seen one TV ad from him.
| by Anonymous | reply 33 | October 3, 2022 4:06 PM |
^ I sure as hell hope the party doesn't waste any of its money on a losing Louisiana Senate race. Same with the Missouri race.
| by Anonymous | reply 34 | October 3, 2022 4:28 PM |
[quote] Where are the Georgians who put Warnock in Congress?! How is Walker a threat?
The Republicans who sat out the runoff election in 2020 giving Warnock the win will be voting in 2022, for Walker.
| by Anonymous | reply 35 | October 3, 2022 4:34 PM |
Disaster ahead
Senate (Nevada) Laxalt (R) 45% Cortez Masto (D) 43% Rubinson (I) 1% Scott (L) 1% 9/20-9/29 by OH Predictive Insights (B/C) 741 LV
| by Anonymous | reply 36 | October 3, 2022 4:43 PM |
How can people not realize what is at stake in this election?
| by Anonymous | reply 37 | October 3, 2022 4:55 PM |
Democrats have failed to forcefully articulate and broadcast a unified, potent message despite all that has happened. I said Democrats should have gone whole hog on the mantra that Republicans in power will mean they will imprison Americans for doing things that disapprove of, from using contraception, to teaching full history, to marrying the person they love. But no, some here retorted that Would be too histrionic. Well, you see where milquetoast appeals get you.
| by Anonymous | reply 38 | October 3, 2022 5:09 PM |
There is this widespread perception that Democrats are just feckless and weak, and it is costing Democratic support even amongst its base. I keep hearing a lot of young people and people of color say that Democrats are so wimpy and are just as Republicans because they lack the balls to enact real change
| by Anonymous | reply 39 | October 3, 2022 5:12 PM |
Republicans just know how to message better. Talk radio, Fox News, the Washington Times, and OAN are all spewing the same talking points in soldier-like Unison. Any dissent is cruelly crushed. The audience is huge, with millions listening to this propaganda all day. Consequently, you can hear the same conservative talking points at Walmart, the barber shop, church, on C-span call in shows. Repetition is powerful. In contrast, liberals and Democrats are all over the place with clashing and divergent messages. Everyone wants to be so unique and independent, the Party is weak and ineffective in messaging
| by Anonymous | reply 40 | October 3, 2022 5:18 PM |
Crime is the issue I hear everyone talking about. If the number one job of a mayor or governor is the safety of their constituents, the leaders of Chicago, Philadelphia, New York, Portland , New Orleans, St. Louis, Los Angeles, etc all need to be voted out for failure.
| by Anonymous | reply 41 | October 4, 2022 2:44 AM |
Louisiana did not elect a Republican Senator from 1883-2004. We had one as recently as 2015. We have a Democratic governor and more registered Democratic voters than Republican. The DNC shouldn't write off Louisiana. Look at Georgia.
| by Anonymous | reply 42 | October 4, 2022 3:04 AM |
^ Missouri recently had Claire McCaskill as one of its senators, too. That was then. Like Louisiana, it won’t be doing that anytime soon again.
| by Anonymous | reply 44 | October 4, 2022 5:35 AM |
A lot of Americans are utterly clueless about what is at stake and think business as usual will go on forever, so they vote Republican out of tradition or for trivial reasons. Things will not go on as before under full GOP control, and they will not be benefiting in any way that makes their lives better. Of course loads of fools here can’t wait to live under fascist one party rule to spite the libs. The rest of us are terrified.
People here will vote for the most morally repugnant, unintelligent, wildly unqualified GOP candidates because they’re team Red, and it’s all like a football game or TV show to them. They don’t have two brain cells amongst the lot of them and they’re just as rotten and bankrupt inside as their candidates.
| by Anonymous | reply 45 | October 4, 2022 5:53 AM |
The economy is crappy and people blame the Democrats for that. That's probably why Republicans will win.
| by Anonymous | reply 46 | October 4, 2022 6:00 AM |
People vote Republican because they hate Democrats. The Blacks, the gays, the elites. The Republican Party has become a party whose central ideology is raw spite.
| by Anonymous | reply 47 | October 4, 2022 6:06 AM |
You can't underestimate the amount of dark money that finances the alt right--and the penetration of their media on men. It's what has turned Republicans and Democrats into "Teams" where people culturally identify with a team outside any connection to the actual policies. This MOSTLY describes Republican voters, especially young men.
I know several straight guys who have no idea most of their political media information comes from this right wing machine. Not even worth discussing it with them.
| by Anonymous | reply 48 | October 9, 2022 1:18 AM |
Why is it whenever the media says it's close, it means the Republican is absolute shit and really won't win, but when it leans Republican, the media makes it sound as if the Republican is leading in polls by 20%?
It's always the Republicans looking good to win and Democrats are going to lose huge, even in states where it's obvious the Dem will win. Josh Shapiro will be the next governor of PA, it's bullshit that the fascist gindaLOON has a chance in hell, but the media insists on acting like it's closer than it is.
| by Anonymous | reply 49 | October 9, 2022 1:31 AM |
If the Dems lose Wisconsin, as likely, & Pennsylvania, talk of candidate selection - previously restricted this cycle to Republicans - will have to take a hard look at Democrats.
| by Anonymous | reply 50 | October 9, 2022 1:50 AM |
Pennsylvania has been switched from "Lean Democrat" to toss-up.
R50 has a point. Barnes, Fetterman and Abrams are running terrible campaigns of late. And after watching that Arizona debate, I'm tempted to throw Mark Kelly in , too.
| by Anonymous | reply 51 | October 9, 2022 2:28 AM |
[quote] Stacey Abrams, who (like Charlie Crist in Florida) seems determined to do everything she can to sabotage her own campaign
Add Beto to these two.
All 3 are losers in any race higher than congressional rep. Yes, I know Crist was governor at one point, but he lost to Rick Scott. Now he’s going to lose to DeSantis.
These 3 need to leave the electoral stage and concentrate on getting appointments by democratic presidents. Or…run for congress. Find a good district and run. It’s better than being unemployed and labeled a chronic loser.
| by Anonymous | reply 52 | October 9, 2022 2:36 AM |
Well, the thinking was that Abrams at least could generate enthusiasm, but Kemp who is a very popular governor who appeals to both the hard right as well as suburban voters.
| by Anonymous | reply 53 | October 9, 2022 3:29 AM |
R53, you gotta hand it to Kemp. Hated by the left, despised by Trump .... and he's still gonna win.
| by Anonymous | reply 54 | October 10, 2022 1:53 AM |
R21 for every eager Liberal/Dem voter there are like 3-4 other liberals/Dems too lazy to get off their asses and go vote.
| by Anonymous | reply 55 | October 10, 2022 2:26 AM |
and too purist to vote pragmatically instead of quixotically
| by Anonymous | reply 56 | October 10, 2022 2:28 AM |
Rubio is a hot muscle stud.
| by Anonymous | reply 57 | October 10, 2022 2:36 AM |
Mark Kelly didn't do great in the debate, r51, but I still think he's in the driver's seat. Blake Masters is an off-putting weirdo, and the people here in AZ sense it. Kelly is a far better candidate. He's an astronaut married to Gabby Giffords for fuck's sake. Kelly has done just about everything right in his re-election campaign, so if he loses it will be that a real red wave actually did end up materializing. And if that happens, the national disaster will be bad enough that Kelly's race won't be more than a mournful footnote.
I'm a hell of a lot more afraid of the governor's race, because Katie Hobbs is a completely shitty candidate, and Lake the Snake has a great chance of slithering her way into office, which basically guarantees AZ goes to the GOP in 2024, not because they won but because she'll do anything possible to steal a win. Whereas Kelly has been consistently polling a few points ahead, the governor's race has been deadlocked for a while now.
And since this is a gay website, am I the only person who thinks the NV candidate Laxalt is fucking gorgeous? He may be an evil piece of shit, (I have no idea), but he's not just politician-hot, he's hot-hot. Please tell me he's like 5'5" or just photographs really well so I can stop having such perverted thoughts about him.
| by Anonymous | reply 58 | October 10, 2022 3:26 AM |
How is Hobbs a bad candidate?
| by Anonymous | reply 59 | October 10, 2022 3:32 AM |
r58 Doesn't do it for me. I'm interested that he was the son of Pete Domenici, but basically raised as a "bastard" by his mother with unknown male parentage until 2013 when he was 39 years old!!!! (Of course, hard to know what he was told in the privacy of his own home).
| by Anonymous | reply 60 | October 10, 2022 5:51 AM |
The current CW is that whichever party wins 2 of 3 of PA, GA & NM will control the Senate.
| by Anonymous | reply 61 | October 10, 2022 7:06 AM |
^ NV, not NM. I must’ve been thinking of Laxalt’s NM connection to Pete Domenici.
| by Anonymous | reply 62 | October 10, 2022 10:27 AM |
I want a brain dead, concussion ridden , ape running my country !
| by Anonymous | reply 63 | October 10, 2022 10:30 AM |
The well-respected Marquette Poll now has Johnson up 6 against Barnes. What a wasted opportunity not only nominating but coronating the one Democrat who Johnson could (easily) beat. SMH.
| by Anonymous | reply 65 | October 12, 2022 7:01 PM |
Please explain who the other candidates were and why you say that, R65
| by Anonymous | reply 66 | October 12, 2022 7:04 PM |
I need to be heavily sedated on November 8
| by Anonymous | reply 67 | October 12, 2022 7:06 PM |
Same, R67. And the disgusting strategy by Dems to lift up deplorables against the more "normal" Republicans was idiotic. If Dems lose, I want Schumer and Pelosi gone. Enough of them.
Frankly, I want Schumer gone anyway, but knowing he is purposely not helping Ryan in Ohio makes me ill.
| by Anonymous | reply 68 | October 12, 2022 7:13 PM |
Why we can't have nice things in America:
A new Marquette University poll shows that Wisconsites who are "less than certain" to vote prefer Democrat Mandela Barnes over Republican Ron Johnson in the WI Senate race by a wide margin, 51% to 31%.
Unfortunately, those "absolutely certain" to vote prefer Johnson over Barnes, 52% to 46%.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 69 | October 12, 2022 7:19 PM |
R66, Barnes was the lone candidate in the race to favor the elimination of cash bail. This stance, post-2020 Kenosha, is, predictably, dooming Barnes's candidacy. Sarah Godlewski, the state Treasurer, would have been so much more electable.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 70 | October 12, 2022 7:22 PM |
r58
[quote]And since this is a gay website, am I the only person who thinks the NV candidate Laxalt is fucking gorgeous? He may be an evil piece of shit, (I have no idea), but he's not just politician-hot, he's hot-hot. Please tell me he's like 5'5" or just photographs really well so I can stop having such perverted thoughts about him.
This...?
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 71 | October 12, 2022 7:33 PM |
We don't want #PuppyKillerOz as our PA Senator.
| by Anonymous | reply 72 | October 12, 2022 7:33 PM |
His own family doesn’t even like him, R71
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 73 | October 12, 2022 9:03 PM |
Lifelong prominent WI Republican James Widgerson:
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 74 | October 12, 2022 9:07 PM |
If Johnson wins re-election, I doubt he will ever care about James Widgerson.
| by Anonymous | reply 75 | October 13, 2022 1:21 AM |
I can't believe Laxalt is only 44. I thought he was over 50.
| by Anonymous | reply 76 | October 13, 2022 1:41 AM |
I don't understand why politicians can't ever say "On this one issue , we were wrong". If Democrats just disowned their crime policy (defund the police, cashless bail, etc), they would be in good shape this year.
| by Anonymous | reply 77 | October 13, 2022 1:46 AM |
Laxalt is a POS--lost when he ran for governor and will lose this time for Senate.
| by Anonymous | reply 78 | October 13, 2022 3:32 AM |
[quote] I don't understand why politicians can't ever say "On this one issue , we were wrong".
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 79 | October 13, 2022 4:21 AM |
The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel has a brutal editorial urging voters to retire Ron Johnson
"Johnson is the worst Wisconsin political representative since the infamous Sen. Joseph McCarthy."
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 82 | October 13, 2022 12:49 PM |
also:
[quote] Longtime GOP senator from the #WesternSlope, Don Coram, endorses @AdamForColorado over @laurenboebert in CD3 and @pweiser over @kellnerforco for AG, both Dems, saying the two Republicans don’t represent rural Colorado.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 83 | October 13, 2022 12:51 PM |
What I like about Tim Ryan is that he's an Alpha. People want to see a confident winner--they don't want to see a namby-pamby, wishy-washy Democrat. I saw him in an interview the other day where he was like "hell yes, we are going to win this race." Typically you don't hear Democrats talk that way.
Plus the best line of the debate--"Ohio needs an ass kicker, not an ass kisser."
| by Anonymous | reply 84 | October 13, 2022 2:48 PM |
Barnes landing some shots like these two
[quote] Barnes: The senator should be so audacious, he fails to mention that taxpayers have to foot the bill for his private plane trips. The 2017 tax plan gave benefits to people who made private plane purchases, guess who bought a few private planes?
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 85 | October 13, 2022 11:24 PM |
Audience laughs at Johnson...twice.
Then they boo him.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 86 | October 14, 2022 12:02 AM |
Real Clear Politics is now predicting the GOP will take the Senate.
| by Anonymous | reply 87 | October 14, 2022 1:15 AM |
And the Media Bias Chart ranks Real Clear Politics below The New York Post, in the category "reliable for news but high in analysis and opinion"
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 88 | October 14, 2022 1:23 AM |
Democrats are gonna need to win at least 3 seats since Vermont has a GOP Governor.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 89 | October 14, 2022 1:26 AM |
Leahy’s term ends in about 10 weeks. The current House member for VT, a Democrat, is about to be elected to the open seat—he will win in a landslide.
| by Anonymous | reply 90 | October 14, 2022 1:56 AM |
Mark Halperin, who until very recently was predicting that the Dems would retain the Senate, now believes the Republicans will. And that the previously-believed Republican trickle in the House will be more substantial.
| by Anonymous | reply 91 | October 14, 2022 2:07 AM |
This guy?
[quote] Mark Evan Halperin (born January 11, 1965)[1] is an American journalist, currently a host and commentator for Newsmax TV.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 92 | October 14, 2022 2:09 AM |
Halperin is likely wrong about the Senate, but I have that bad feeling he’s on point re the House.
| by Anonymous | reply 93 | October 14, 2022 2:16 AM |
Wisconsin Dems picked a loser candidate if they went for someone opposing cash bail. Connor Lamb would have been a better candidate in Penn. Beto and SA have zero chance of winning. Democrats pick candidates that are too progressive for swing states and wonder why they lose. I think Ryan is a good match for Ohio but the state seems to far red to win. iThings are looking grim for November.
| by Anonymous | reply 94 | October 14, 2022 2:19 AM |
Halperin’s also the co-author, with John Heilemann, of Game Change, the definitive book about the ‘08 election. And while he was a #MeToo casualty, he remains an astute political observer. He’s a regular on Michael Smerconish’s SiriusXM show,
| by Anonymous | reply 95 | October 14, 2022 2:21 AM |
94 must be a fuckton of fun at parties!
| by Anonymous | reply 96 | October 14, 2022 2:24 AM |
The ebbs and flows of a political season. Pre-Dobbs, Republicans were riding high. Then Dobbs, along with lower gas prices & poor candidate selection by Republicans, gave Democrats hope in the summer that all was not lost. But now, with increasingly bad economic news, including the rising price of gas (&, as R94 notes, the realization by Dems of their own slate of less than ideal candidates), that optimism seems to be giving way to the prospects of a disappointing November.
| by Anonymous | reply 97 | October 14, 2022 2:31 AM |
If the Republicans win the Senate, will McConnell actually block judicial nominees for 2 years? Garland was one thing, but it seems like that's the case.
| by Anonymous | reply 98 | October 14, 2022 2:33 AM |
This video is funny. Noir is a lawyer and 2d Amendment advocate . . . and I mean Advocate with a capital A. He votes. These people vote. And they probably don't respond to pollsters.
But as for the cougar, he does have a point. LOL!
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 99 | October 14, 2022 2:38 AM |
How is Garland one thing? It highlighted what a cancerous tumor McConnell is on this country
| by Anonymous | reply 100 | October 14, 2022 2:42 AM |
R91 Mark Halperin likes to whip his cock out and drape it over the shoulder of his female co-workers. He's a rapey POS who was and is wrong about much to do with politics. And when Mika "know your values, ladies!' advocated for him to get a show again on MSNBC, well you know the rest dear.
| by Anonymous | reply 101 | October 14, 2022 5:08 AM |
R101, what does that have to do with his political acumen?
| by Anonymous | reply 103 | October 14, 2022 9:23 AM |
Highlights (or lowlights, depending on perspective)
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 104 | October 14, 2022 12:48 PM |
His Business-in-Law 🤣 🤣
| by Anonymous | reply 105 | October 14, 2022 1:35 PM |
When you have to pay Black people to be your friends...
[quote] In an article on the event, the Associated Press played the story straight at the time and ran a photo of Oz hugging Armstrong. But there was an element of reality TV. After the campaign manager for Democratic candidate John Fetterman complained in a tweet about Oz misleading voters about Armstrong being a “paid staffer from his campaign,” the Intercept confirmed that she was employed by Dr. Oz, pulling up records from the Federal Election Commission showing payments to Armstrong that the campaign filed in June as “payroll.” Fetterman’s campaign manager, Brendan McPhillips, provided more receipts of Armstrong’s employment, including her business card describing her as the “Philadelphia County coordinator” for Oz.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 106 | October 14, 2022 8:28 PM |
🤓 [italic] Once a Snake Oil Salesman
Always a Snake Oil Salesman
| by Anonymous | reply 107 | October 14, 2022 11:58 PM |
[quote] Audience laughs at Johnson...twice.
Specifically, it was Barnes supporters and students at Marquette University who laughed.
| by Anonymous | reply 108 | October 15, 2022 12:03 AM |
R106, if I didn't know who that was, I would've thought it was that "magic water" televangelist.
| by Anonymous | reply 109 | October 15, 2022 12:54 AM |
Does CD = congressional district?
| by Anonymous | reply 113 | October 15, 2022 10:05 PM |
The Democrats NEVER fight enough, never, you need to kick the shit out of your Republican opponent, they aren’t prepared to show muscle. I just can’t understand it, this is NOT the old days, this is merciless warfare. Walker should be at 18% for fucks sake!
| by Anonymous | reply 114 | October 15, 2022 10:06 PM |
Why are the Dems and/or some affiliated group not trying to nationalize this election by showing how seditious, racist & anti-democratic the Trump-controlled Republican Party has become?! SMH.
| by Anonymous | reply 115 | October 15, 2022 10:10 PM |
Tim Ryan + Chris Murphy = 🔥🔥🔥
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 116 | October 15, 2022 10:39 PM |
Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley’s lead over Democrat Mike Franken has narrowed to 3 percentage points with less than a month until Election Day, signaling Grassley’s toughest reelection fight in 40 years.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 118 | October 15, 2022 11:17 PM |
Obama, while personally popular, has never shown he has any positive effect on anyone he's campaigned for.
| by Anonymous | reply 119 | October 15, 2022 11:34 PM |
R118 I will cream my panties if that old fucker Grassley loses.
| by Anonymous | reply 120 | October 15, 2022 11:47 PM |
[quote] Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley’s lead over Democrat Mike Franken has narrowed to 3 percentage points with less than a month until Election Day, signaling Grassley’s toughest reelection fight in 40 years.
Hmmm. That's from a very well-respected pollster, which had Grassley up by 8% just months ago.
| by Anonymous | reply 121 | October 15, 2022 11:59 PM |
It's not even the Republican party anymore, it's the MAGA party. If people are stupid enough to vote that way, I hope they suffer for it.
| by Anonymous | reply 122 | October 16, 2022 12:03 AM |
Old white people who aren't wealthy and vote Republican are morons who need to just die already. They really shouldn't get a penny in SS or have medicare if they want a fucking party who want to get rid of both to be in charge.
| by Anonymous | reply 123 | October 16, 2022 3:11 AM |
Tony Evers? That useless POS governor who refused to call out the Guard and let Kenosha riot and burn for nights. He deserves to lose.
| by Anonymous | reply 124 | October 16, 2022 5:25 AM |
[quote] Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley’s lead over Democrat Mike Franken has narrowed to 3 percentage points with less than a month until Election Day, signaling Grassley’s toughest reelection fight in 40 years.
More polling shenanigans. The government should regulate the industry to force more accurate pre-election polling.
| by Anonymous | reply 125 | October 16, 2022 7:49 AM |
^Nervous Troll Alert Above
| by Anonymous | reply 126 | October 16, 2022 8:02 AM |
Grassley will be president pro tempore again and he literally has no idea where he is or what's happening around him. Third in line to the presidency.
To own the libs.
| by Anonymous | reply 127 | October 16, 2022 8:50 AM |
[quote] There is still much more work to be done in Washington on issues that Pennsylvanians care about, including protecting abortion rights and restoring the enhanced child tax credit, which reduced hunger and poverty in our state and across the nation. These initiatives and others could potentially stall in Congress’ divided upper house. That is just one reason why it is crucial for Pennsylvania voters to elect John Fetterman to the U.S. Senate in November.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 128 | October 16, 2022 12:13 PM |
Both The NY Times and the National Review reported did ok in the debates. He did not completely implode which apparently will give moderate Republicans and independent voters an excuse to vote from him.
| by Anonymous | reply 129 | October 16, 2022 12:16 PM |
That is Walker did ok, I meant at R129.
| by Anonymous | reply 130 | October 16, 2022 12:17 PM |
Yeah, R129/R130.
When the bar is set at "well, he didn't drool on himself so..."
| by Anonymous | reply 131 | October 16, 2022 12:21 PM |
Yep, MSNBC commentators think Walker could force a runoff
| by Anonymous | reply 132 | October 16, 2022 12:23 PM |
Old wrinkle dick Grassley was totally fine with Mike Pence being unavailable to certify the 2020 election, which means he KNEW about the coup plot. If I were his opponent, I'd use that.
| by Anonymous | reply 133 | October 16, 2022 3:20 PM |
[quote] Old white people who aren't wealthy and vote Republican are morons who need to just die already.
Alas, it's the nature of aging that this cohort will be replaced by a successor group of old whites who will be similarly inclined.
| by Anonymous | reply 134 | October 16, 2022 4:47 PM |
Not gonna lie, I got a bit of a chubby listening to Flowers at the end of this...
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 135 | October 16, 2022 10:04 PM |
(Overall, she's coming off as an unhinged shrieking harpy, btw, in case you were wondering)
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 136 | October 16, 2022 10:10 PM |
I just dropped off my Absentee Ballot today, voted all Democrat.
| by Anonymous | reply 137 | October 16, 2022 10:26 PM |
Flowers looked and sounded fantastic against Perjury Traitor Scream--He's really, really good at it.
And that also explains why Herschel didn't show up, it's her night to use the tired, stupid, incorrect talking points.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 138 | October 16, 2022 10:28 PM |
[quote] The Democrats NEVER fight enough, never, you need to kick the shit out of your Republican opponent, they aren’t prepared to show muscle. I just can’t understand it
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 139 | October 16, 2022 10:41 PM |
There was a strong in the Washington Post this week that Republicans are significantly overspending Democrats because they often have to pay 5 or 6 times more for ads. Republicans are underperforming Democrats in individual fundraising by a lot. An individual candidate is entitled to the lowest available rate, while no such rule applies to Super PACS.
| by Anonymous | reply 140 | October 16, 2022 10:46 PM |
[quote]I just dropped off my Absentee Ballot today, voted all Democrat.
Mine came with Wednesday's mail, I'll drop it off within the next two days... I'm still amazed that this yo-yo's name is on the ballot.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 142 | October 16, 2022 11:15 PM |
--The Oshkosh Republican broke his promise not to seek a third term.
--With our nation facing its worst pandemic in a century, Johnson questioned the science and promoted conspiracy theories, which risked people’s lives.
--Johnson has rejected widely popular and bipartisan legislation, such as the most significant gun safety law in 30 years
--Johnson loves to oppose and complain. But he rarely gets much done for our state and nation.
--Johnson was elected in the tea party wave of 2010 as a budget hawk and business leader...But when former President Donald Trump spent freely and ran up debt, Johnson mostly caved.
--Worst of all, Johnson helped fuel the Jan. 6, 2021, riots at the U.S. Capitol by backing Trump’s baseless claims about election fraud that continue to undermine American democracy and civility today. Johnson and his staff even tried to deliver a slate of fake electors to then-Vice President Mike Pence
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 143 | October 17, 2022 10:57 AM |
[quote] "The choice here boils down to what kind of statesman would best represent Ohio in the Senate. In that arena, Ryan is the clear favorite."
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 145 | October 17, 2022 1:14 PM |
It's interesting that the Fox poll not only seems to show Biden with his highest approval ratings but seems to be the only one that shows Dems with a lead (3%) in the generic party approval ratings. Definitely a different arm fro the rest of the channel.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 146 | October 17, 2022 6:57 PM |
A new poll has Lee with a double-digit lead in Utah, but I still have good vibes for Dem. senate candidates in PA, GA and NC…less so in NV. I assume, like in various prior close years, there will some sort of general trend that tips more than one seat. The question does the senate wind blow like the house wind?
I fear that the House is already a lost cause, and this weekend’s trend line is not great. These same (dumb) voters will flip the House and then wonder for the next two years why nothing got done and why inflation just didn’t go away.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 147 | October 17, 2022 7:16 PM |
I guess I'm not following the elections as closely as many here. I assumed the Dems could keep the House. Maybe a tighter margin but still keep it.
I have no idea about the Senate. So many bad bad candidates on both sides of the aisle. I almost want them all to lose.
They better be working on presidential possibilities. Like right now.
| by Anonymous | reply 148 | October 17, 2022 7:24 PM |
I feel like my vote for Catherine Cortez-Masto is crucial.
| by Anonymous | reply 149 | October 17, 2022 7:28 PM |
It's over...if both Houses flip. Biden will be a lame duck...then '24. It really is about whether an R or D is next to your name...that's all.
| by Anonymous | reply 150 | October 17, 2022 7:56 PM |
Our votes won't count anymore, with all the election deniers, if voted in.
| by Anonymous | reply 151 | October 17, 2022 7:57 PM |
The election deniers can't do anything unless they have a case that wins in court.
| by Anonymous | reply 152 | October 17, 2022 8:02 PM |
[quote] It's over...if both Houses flip. Biden will be a lame duck...then '24. It really is about whether an R or D is next to your name...that's all.
History over the last 40 years doesn't support your fears, R150. Republicans lost big in '82, Reagan's first midterm. And Democrats lost big in '94 & '10, Clinton & Obama's first midterm, respectively. And Reagan, Clinton & Obama each won re-election in varying degrees of comfort.
| by Anonymous | reply 153 | October 17, 2022 8:04 PM |
R248, not just your vote. Every Nevada voter you know. Make sure they vote.
| by Anonymous | reply 154 | October 17, 2022 8:05 PM |
R153, we’ve never had a Congress or a Supreme Court this extreme or half the country so batshit insane. Trump was elected. The Tea Party shut down the government and were rewarded that year winning Congress. The US public is not your father’s public. The country is crazy.
| by Anonymous | reply 155 | October 17, 2022 8:51 PM |
Twitter thread on the Utah debate
[quote] Lee just pulled out a pocket constitution and said “how dare you sir”
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 156 | October 18, 2022 12:32 AM |
^^^^
[quote] said Mark Longabaugh, a progressive ad maker who worked on Bernie Sanders’ 2016 campaign
Which is why we’re in this mess.
| by Anonymous | reply 160 | October 18, 2022 1:00 AM |
Lee was a swaying, rocking, water-sucking, fidgeting, pen-tapping, flop-sweating mess, so of course he's going to get glowing reviews.
| by Anonymous | reply 161 | October 18, 2022 1:02 AM |
In all honesty, if women and young people do not vote like tsunami of purpose, then this country will deserve what’s waiting in the wings to end it as we know it. If Republicans take the House and the Senate, it’s OVER. Truly.
| by Anonymous | reply 162 | October 18, 2022 1:17 AM |
R155, I take solace in the fact that, crazy country or not, Trump was the first president since Hoover to lose re-election despite having a united party & no serious third-party opposition. That has to mean something. And since people vote their pocketbooks & the first midterm of an incumbent president historically doesn’t bode well for his party, losing the Congress would not signify the end of the world.
| by Anonymous | reply 163 | October 18, 2022 1:33 AM |
In recent cycles we’ve been sucked into thinking that various races were winnable, but, with the exception of the Georgia Senate run-offs (h/t DJT), they never pan out. This year, we’re allowing us to fantasize about, among others, Ohio, Iowa & Utah, but I’m not falling for this trap. For me, I’m just allowing myself to hope for the status quo, 50/50 Senate & winning 2 of 3 of Georgia, Pennsylvania & Arizona to get there. And that the House is loss is a no-brainer. Just hoping for as small a Republican majority there as possible to make the (likely) new speaker McCarthy’s life hellish.
| by Anonymous | reply 164 | October 18, 2022 6:45 AM |
MAGAt surge. American is going to be even more fucked than it already is.
| by Anonymous | reply 165 | October 18, 2022 9:10 AM |
^ If we had as a president who was a more compelling public speaker he could use that office in its intended bully pulpit role to castigate such thinking. Imagine what a Bill Clinton or Barack Obama could do under a Congress MAGAtized.
| by Anonymous | reply 166 | October 18, 2022 11:06 AM |
We don’t have to imagine, because they both did. Nothing got done and the government got shut down,
| by Anonymous | reply 167 | October 18, 2022 11:10 AM |
Democrats failed to rise to the occasion and make Courts and Republican fascism THE issue. Not merely abortion, but the current ability of Republican courts in general to criminanlize the lives of millions of Americans. Democrats had one job....
| by Anonymous | reply 168 | October 18, 2022 11:13 AM |
It's not just a MAGAT surge if independents join in and moderate Republicans fall in line. And if the GOP gets a larger share of the POC vote.
But keep telling yourself that.
| by Anonymous | reply 169 | October 18, 2022 11:21 AM |
Yeah independents leaning Republican is devastating s
| by Anonymous | reply 170 | October 18, 2022 11:24 AM |
R167, but they both won re-election when it was thought they’d be one-termers after their midterm shellacking.
| by Anonymous | reply 171 | October 18, 2022 11:53 AM |
I'm not making predictions but since all of this polling data is off, that concerns me. Mainly because if the Democrats do well, the MAGAts and insurrectionists will point to the polling data and claim that the Dems rigged the elections again. And of course Dump and all of his minion candidates will be throwing gasoline on the fire.
For example, what do you think Marco Rubio will say if he loses to Val Demings? Or Kemp loses to Stacey Abrams in GA? And these are the so-called reasonable Republicans. I would expect to see more violence from the MAGAts if the Democrats do well.
| by Anonymous | reply 172 | October 18, 2022 3:43 PM |
^ If only that were (likely) in the cards.
| by Anonymous | reply 173 | October 18, 2022 5:55 PM |
[quote] "I'm really disappointed in you, Marco Rubio, because I think there was time in which you did not lie in order to win"
Sis is not playing!
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 177 | October 19, 2022 2:21 AM |
Poor liddle Marco. So sure he was going to be president.
| by Anonymous | reply 178 | October 19, 2022 3:54 AM |
Off topic but noteworthy:
[quote] The state’s successes are all the more reason we need a person of vision in the governor’s office, someone who has the ability and the inclination to take our immense advantages and make them work for the public good, and at the same time, someone who actually wants to solve long-lingering problems, such as Texas’ unfair tax burden on homeowners and the working class, and our failure to educate a skilled, homegrown workforce that Texas needs to thrive.
[quote] That vision won’t come from Greg Abbott.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 179 | October 19, 2022 12:59 PM |
If Florida sends Little Marco back to the Senate, I say it's time for it to secede. Maybe they can join Cuba since there's so many Cubans there anyway.
Val Demings is superb, I just can't see why people would continue to vote for him.
| by Anonymous | reply 180 | October 19, 2022 5:48 PM |
Personally I find this annoying.
But I don’t see any am way that it hurts him.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 181 | October 19, 2022 8:47 PM |
Reality doesn't exist in their world.
[quote] The Democratic candidate for Oklahoma Governor is @Joy4OK .
[quote] In 2020, per capita murder rates were *40% higher* in states won by Trump than those won by Biden.
[quote] 8 out of 10 of the states with the highest murder rates voted for Trump.
He's a horrible human being and I would so love to see Oklahoma, of all places, elect a Democrat for governor.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 182 | October 20, 2022 3:13 AM |
Dr. Andrews drags deplorable Mace and her tired talking points
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 183 | October 20, 2022 3:27 AM |
People talk about Democrats lacking a unifying message against the GOP but I think there's a pretty clear one.
Republicans are just generally terrible right now. They're on the wrong side of almost every issue - even economic ones. They deny reality and even law when it suits them and are contributing to the growing corruption and divisiveness of the political system with all this conspiracy bullshit.
Seriously, what's to like? They really need to get their act together.
| by Anonymous | reply 184 | October 20, 2022 3:50 AM |
But they are Winning. Why would they change?
| by Anonymous | reply 185 | October 20, 2022 6:22 AM |
I was talking more about the good of the country R185. Not treating governance like its a stupid game to win.
| by Anonymous | reply 186 | October 20, 2022 6:25 AM |
You’re talking reckless fantasy
| by Anonymous | reply 187 | October 20, 2022 6:31 AM |
R187. Sounds like something you should keep to yourself. Whatever you do in your bedroom is really your business.
But keep a phone nearby if you're doing EA or something.
| by Anonymous | reply 188 | October 20, 2022 6:35 AM |
Not sure this will save Stacey, but anything that increases voter turnout helps Warnock.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 189 | October 20, 2022 12:44 PM |
Demmings is 8 points behind Rubio. That’s FL, the land of QAnon. I refuse to set foot in the place
| by Anonymous | reply 190 | October 20, 2022 5:23 PM |
Pennsylvania Senate:
Fetterman (D) 46% Oz (R) 46% Gerhardt (L) 2%
.@InsiderPolling/@FOX29philly, 550 LV, 10/19
| by Anonymous | reply 191 | October 20, 2022 5:58 PM |
^ With undecideds now thought to be heavily trending towards Republicans, I suspect Fetterman's toast.
| by Anonymous | reply 192 | October 21, 2022 12:14 AM |
The Biden-Fetterman summit was probably the nadir of this campaign.
| by Anonymous | reply 193 | October 21, 2022 12:42 AM |
It’s VERY convenient that the corporate media is all in pushing the Democrats fading narrative right about now, they are DESPERATE for another Trump run, Biden is boring and not bringing in the hits and traffic. I watched NETWORK again last night, absolutely timely beyond imagination. We’re doomed, and we’re all gonna just shrug and take it. Tragic!
| by Anonymous | reply 194 | October 21, 2022 12:47 AM |
[quote] ^ With undecideds now thought to be heavily trending towards Republicans, I suspect Fetterman's toast
This narrative is a fucking lie. There’s no possibility that there was “a 32 point swing” to republicans, lol! A 32% swing sounds plausible, but not 32 POINTS. It’s from NY Nepotism, so pay no mind.
| by Anonymous | reply 195 | October 21, 2022 12:58 AM |
In wave elections, R195, it's not unusual for there to be a stampede in the waning days of the election, e.g., 1980.
| by Anonymous | reply 196 | October 21, 2022 1:04 AM |
I think the biggest shock will be New York governor. Hochul seems clueless about crime, very out of touch. That's my pick for the biggest upset.
| by Anonymous | reply 197 | October 21, 2022 1:14 AM |
^ If Hochul loses, it’ll mean Democrats lose all but the safest of races. As is the case with my governor, Gretchen Whitmer, whose double-digit lead of just a couple of weeks ago has narrowed precipitously. If her no-name opponent, who’se never held a political office, were to win you have to know this result will be replicated nationwide.
| by Anonymous | reply 198 | October 21, 2022 1:52 AM |
[quote] I think the biggest shock will be New York governor. Hochul seems clueless about crime, very out of touch. That's my pick for the biggest upset.
Not happening, lol. Murdoch media is pushing the Zeldin lcrime, crime, crime” angle and idiotically lying every day that the race is “a toss up.” It’s obvious they’re going to try to steal it because sucker is going to lose big time. He’s 8-12 points underwater. They’re spending a lot of money pushing these fake poll results on social media. They’re going to try some kind of swindle. But we see them a mile away.
| by Anonymous | reply 199 | October 21, 2022 1:59 AM |
Fetterman looks like the biggest dud among Dems.
| by Anonymous | reply 200 | October 21, 2022 2:05 AM |
I think the biggest shock will be New York governor. Hochul seems clueless about crime, very out of touch. That's my pick for the biggest upset.
Zeldin’s “crime” narrative is a joke.
A drunk guy wanders onstage. He’s got a Hello Kitty key ring in his possession and Zeldin claims “he tried to stab me.”
Then he’s traveling all over NY yelling “crime, crime, crime” and TWO MEN GET SHOT ON HIS FRONT LAWN while his daughters are home alone. As a3 term congressmen Lee Zeldin has done nothing about crime IN HIS.OWN FRONT YARD let alone in his congressional district! What a fool.
Btw, NYPD’s own crime statistics show crime is way down from 2000. Read it and weep (after you magnify it)
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 201 | October 21, 2022 2:06 AM |
Where I feel *right now* for senate races. Remember things can and will likely change in the next 19 days
NC: Budd 50, Beasley 46 WI: Johnson 50, Barnes 47 PA: Oz 49, Fetterman 48 NV: Laxalt 47, CCM 48 AZ: Masters 47, Kelly 51 GA: Walker 47, Warnock 49 OH: Vance 51, Ryan
| by Anonymous | reply 202 | October 21, 2022 2:21 AM |
^ That sounds about right. For now. But I won’t be surprised if Walker ends up winning. I’d be more surprised if Masters does. In any, considering the horrid ‘24 Senate landscape, the Republicans could control the upper body for years to come, starting in January.
| by Anonymous | reply 203 | October 21, 2022 4:40 AM |
With inflation numbers not seen in over 40 years, it really was folly to think that Dems could escape a tsunami.
| by Anonymous | reply 204 | October 21, 2022 4:43 AM |
Is Gretchen Whitmer the one they tried to kidnap?
| by Anonymous | reply 205 | October 21, 2022 4:45 AM |
November is going to be a nightmare. Every Trumper on the ballot will declare they won (even if they didn't)...You are out of your mind if you think Hershel Walker and Sen Warnock will not BOTH be declaring themselves the winner on Election Night....Same with Oz and Fetterman...Same with Vance and Ryan....A NIGHTMARE...Wait and See....The GOP MAGA Loony Toons will be out declaring elections they lost are being stolen and TRUMP will be online egging it on...Lock your Doors. Do NOT put up any political signs in your yard...
| by Anonymous | reply 206 | October 21, 2022 4:49 AM |
Lol, the shitposters are really going overboard on this thread.
“Yeah, I think the guy who has no chance at all is going to take it. Foregone conclusion. He’ll pick up 15 points between now and Election Day and pull this off because his opponent, who is 13 points ahead, isn’t really popular.”
“Oh, I agree 100%. I’m not even going to vote because I don’t like either candidate. Both parties need a total revamp and I’m not wasting my vote until they do. Young people especially need to stay home and demand rapid progressive change and a switch to an entirely different economic system immediately.”
“I’m afraid you’re right, poster above me who is definitely not me posting multiple times with several different points of view to discourage voters and gaslight people into thinking the candidates who are losing big time are actually doing well.”
“Exactly, poster above me who still isn’t me but is an entirely different person. What’s the point? I think I’ll just pull the covers over my head on Election Day and stay in bed. There’s no voter enthusiasm on our side at all. It’s going to be a red wave.”
| by Anonymous | reply 208 | October 21, 2022 2:16 PM |
[quote] “I’m afraid you’re right, poster above me who is definitely not me posting multiple times with several different points of view to discourage voters and gaslight people into thinking the candidates who are losing big time are actually doing well.”
Couldn't this also have the possibility of deterring republican voters?! If they're led to believe their side is guaranteed to win, what's the incentive for them to vote?
| by Anonymous | reply 209 | October 21, 2022 2:42 PM |
I will NEVER flip! Strictly BOTTOM ONLY!
| by Anonymous | reply 210 | October 21, 2022 2:55 PM |
[quote] Couldn't this also have the possibility of deterring republican voters?! If they're led to believe their side is guaranteed to win, what's the incentive for them to vote?
More importantly, all the votes of American DLers combined are not going to affect the outcome of any race, anywhere. However, the loons here who are obsessed with politics really believe that any contrary views posted on DL may tip an election. They’re nuts.
| by Anonymous | reply 211 | October 21, 2022 3:13 PM |
So all of the people (many newly registered voters) that were outraged over the Roe repeal will just say "fuck that, gas is up 50 cents a gallon. I'm voting for the Republican now." Sorry, but I'm not buying that. I think the media is invested in a horse race type mentality so they want these races to appear close as possible.
I'm not making any predictions other than I think the Democrats will do better than what is being said by media types. Also, the MAGAts will be screaming fraud and rigged in any races that they lose so if Democrats do well, I would expect more temper tantrums/lashing out/violence from them. Of course it will be encouraged and instigated by the Orange Shitgibbon.
| by Anonymous | reply 212 | October 21, 2022 3:58 PM |
^ It's the economy, stupid.
| by Anonymous | reply 213 | October 21, 2022 4:46 PM |
Yeah, the Brits & the Americans turned out Churchill & the Dems, respectively, the first chance they had even after their presiding over a glorious victory in WWII owing to a bad economy. And to the surprise of no serious political watcher, the anti-choice Republicans have not so subtly discarded their, ahem, convicted opposition to abortion to appeal to more pro-choice voters.
| by Anonymous | reply 214 | October 21, 2022 4:58 PM |
So much for the great optimism over the Senate.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 215 | October 22, 2022 12:00 AM |
Exactly, r214. The Republicans’ obstruction in 1946-8 led to Democrats taking back the House and Senate as well as the surprise Truman victory.
| by Anonymous | reply 216 | October 22, 2022 12:15 AM |
Silver is late. Everyone has known that for a month
| by Anonymous | reply 217 | October 22, 2022 12:35 AM |
^ Not quite. Maybe just in the last couple of weeks.
| by Anonymous | reply 218 | October 22, 2022 1:11 AM |
The Hill's updated survey.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 219 | October 22, 2022 12:42 PM |
I think Democrats can’t just push the abortion issue outright, they also have to connect the dots in peoples minds that this ruling on abortion has far reaching implications on personal rights and freedoms in general. Many people may support choice but because they can’t relate to it personally and it doesn’t affect their lives, it’s not going to guide their vote. They have to understand that all sorts of freedoms and personal liberties are at stake and abortion is just an example.
| by Anonymous | reply 220 | October 22, 2022 2:01 PM |
I’ve heard a lot of people say recently that all Democrats are offering is abortion. And these people have mostly been women. Democrats have to be careful that they aren’t seen as too enthusiastic about the practice of abortion, which Americans still are quite uncomfortable or conflicted about despite saying it should be legal to some extent. Republicans are Doing a good job of painting Democrats as supporters of abortion without limits, which is even more unpopular than the Dobson decision
| by Anonymous | reply 221 | October 22, 2022 2:12 PM |
Americans are a moralistic people, and many see Democrats as viewing abortion without any moral guidance or rules. Although the majority of Americans say they support the right to choose, when you delve deeper you see most want significant restrictions on abortion.
| by Anonymous | reply 222 | October 22, 2022 2:16 PM |
^ significant restrictions on *other people’s* abortions
| by Anonymous | reply 223 | October 22, 2022 2:24 PM |
Dems have forgotten or have chosen to forget the economy. Abortion, abortion, abortion!
| by Anonymous | reply 224 | October 22, 2022 5:10 PM |
^Acid, amnesty & abortion.
| by Anonymous | reply 225 | October 22, 2022 9:06 PM |
In Ohio there are countless Political Commercials going after JUDGES (dems) who are running for re-election. I have never seen Republicans go after Judges like this before. It is insane.
| by Anonymous | reply 227 | October 23, 2022 3:23 AM |
Judges need to be held accountable if they go rogue.
| by Anonymous | reply 228 | October 23, 2022 3:28 AM |
R228 ---Is a Republican who supports MAGA judges.
| by Anonymous | reply 229 | October 23, 2022 3:41 AM |
Daniel Schuman
[quote] I think we are now in the contrarian-election-take part of the news cycle where editors assign journalists to cover that one outlier poll and write it up as if it validly predicts a close race or unexpected outcome.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 230 | October 23, 2022 1:28 PM |
Guess where Marco wasn't today...
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 231 | October 23, 2022 11:53 PM |
Sorry. ^^ looks like video was from July. She just re-posted it.
| by Anonymous | reply 232 | October 23, 2022 11:55 PM |
R231 = Buttigieg and Chazzy also boycott Pride Events. ZERO this year. But they will care about us next year if Pete is running for something.
| by Anonymous | reply 234 | October 24, 2022 2:50 AM |
Charlotte Observer endorses Cheri Beasley
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 235 | October 24, 2022 11:45 AM |
It’d be amazing if Beasley could actually pull it out but I see North Carolina more likely coming up short on the Dem side unfortunately, as it did in 2020. They just don’t seem to have their ground game up to snuff and blacks there don’t seem as motivated as those in Georgia, where there’s an absolute fire lit under their asses.
| by Anonymous | reply 236 | October 24, 2022 2:04 PM |
NC Democrats have failed to get college students and urban voters motivated to vote. Republicans are masters at driving up the massive rural and small town vote every election. Liberals are lazy and unorganized in NC
| by Anonymous | reply 237 | October 24, 2022 3:25 PM |
R5, Tim Ryan has major BDF.
| by Anonymous | reply 238 | October 24, 2022 3:28 PM |
ISNT THE FETTERMAN DEBATE TOMORROW????
| by Anonymous | reply 239 | October 24, 2022 3:29 PM |
R237, liberals are lazy and disorganized everywhere. It doesn't help that they have the laziest voting blocs.
| by Anonymous | reply 240 | October 25, 2022 2:49 AM |
Yep, even liberal billionaires are not donating and jockeying in politics the way conservatives billionaires are
| by Anonymous | reply 241 | October 25, 2022 11:50 AM |
Fetterman/Oz debate was a catastrophe. Of course Oz is unlikable to his core, but Fetterman was dismal due to communication errors, his team should never have let it happen.
| by Anonymous | reply 242 | October 26, 2022 2:13 AM |
I see evil when I look at Dr. Oz.
| by Anonymous | reply 243 | October 26, 2022 3:19 AM |
Now that Pennsylvania is gone, Georgia becomes so much more important.
| by Anonymous | reply 244 | October 26, 2022 3:21 AM |
R244 = Ohio is a goner too. Tim Ryan is slipping away. JD Vance is mopping him up.
| by Anonymous | reply 245 | October 26, 2022 3:51 AM |
Polls have horribly underestimated the republican vote in Ohio since 2016.
| by Anonymous | reply 246 | October 26, 2022 3:58 AM |
Georgia is going to a runoff
| by Anonymous | reply 247 | October 26, 2022 3:58 AM |
After Georgia came to America's rescue in 2020 by giving us 2 senate seats--no fucking way are they going to then flip and become the laughing stock of the country by sending Head Wound Herschel to the Senate.
| by Anonymous | reply 248 | October 26, 2022 4:00 AM |
They will, and half of the nation would vote for Hershel too
| by Anonymous | reply 249 | October 26, 2022 4:02 AM |
It’s sad, but I’m bracing for the reality
| by Anonymous | reply 251 | October 26, 2022 4:18 AM |
I don’t want to feel like I did in November 2016. This time, I’m prepared to lose
| by Anonymous | reply 252 | October 26, 2022 4:18 AM |
^ Yes, it’s best to (really) lower expectations.
| by Anonymous | reply 253 | October 26, 2022 4:30 AM |
It’s not good to get out the vote, but I can’t deal with being depressed like 2016 again. Sometimes you Have to protect yourself
| by Anonymous | reply 254 | October 26, 2022 4:34 AM |
If Democrats lose control of the Senate in November, 58 judicial nominations currently working their way towards confirmation will hang in the balance.
| by Anonymous | reply 255 | October 26, 2022 4:35 AM |
.^ Well, there is the lame-duck session.
| by Anonymous | reply 256 | October 26, 2022 4:38 AM |
The GOP nutcases are going to block the Ukrainian Aid when they take over in January.. Wait and See....Then Putin is really going to start taking them over when they don't have our money helping them anymore. Scary.
| by Anonymous | reply 258 | October 26, 2022 4:58 AM |
[quote] After Georgia came to America's rescue in 2020 by giving us 2 senate seats--no fucking way are they going to then flip
It would be surprising if it didn’t flip. What happened in Georgia is like what happened in Indiana in 2012 and Alabama in 2017, when Democrats won because of extraordinary circumstances and were later defeated when running for re-election.
| by Anonymous | reply 259 | October 26, 2022 5:01 AM |
[quote] The GOP nutcases are going to block the Ukrainian Aid when they take over in January..
With the help of the Progressive Caucus.
| by Anonymous | reply 260 | October 26, 2022 5:02 AM |
The lame-duck session can be very productive. Provide Ukraine support & authorize the lifting of the debt limit through the end of January ‘25.
| by Anonymous | reply 261 | October 26, 2022 5:02 AM |
A longtime political junkie, I haven’t missed election night coverage since 1968. I might just have to sit this one out.
| by Anonymous | reply 262 | October 26, 2022 5:08 AM |
[quote] The lame-duck session can be very productive. Provide Ukraine support & authorize the lifting of the debt limit through the end of January ‘25.
There won’t be 60 votes for it in the Senate, so you can file away that fantasy.
| by Anonymous | reply 263 | October 26, 2022 5:09 AM |
^ If they can’t achieve that through reconciliation, there may be 10 republicans, including Collins, Romney, Murkowski & the retiring good government Republicans, e.g., Blunt, Portman, to get it done.
| by Anonymous | reply 264 | October 26, 2022 5:13 AM |
Look to the Republican senators who got the infrastructure bill pass the finish line if you don’t think you can get 60 votes. The likes of, yes, McConnell, want to see Ukraine get all the aid it needs.
| by Anonymous | reply 265 | October 26, 2022 5:18 AM |
It's clearly over if Patty Murray's seat is in jeopardy.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 266 | October 26, 2022 11:12 AM |
Politico and CNN are both going to be flaming hot garbage for the next two weeks so people like ^^^ write comments just like that..
| by Anonymous | reply 267 | October 26, 2022 11:31 AM |
The polling is probably significantly underestimating the Republican vote, specifically in Ohio, Florida, Texas, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina. NPR did a recent story about how difficult it is to Poll now because so few people answer phones or participate, and the missing respondents tend to be conservative. Plus, a lot of right leaning people get a thrill out of trolling pollsters. Pollsters have done a horrible job in those states since at least 2016, if not 2010
| by Anonymous | reply 268 | October 26, 2022 11:50 AM |
Why so many complainants about weak democratic messaging? It's been loud and clear America's priority should be gender surgery for those children who were taught in grade school they were assigned to the wrong sex. And that a five minute car fillup needs to become a ten hour recharge., And that parents should never interfere with how teachers are raising their children. And you didn't really need all those savings anyway.
It all seems like a very loud and unambiguous platform.
| by Anonymous | reply 269 | October 26, 2022 12:17 PM |
Manchin's term expires in 2024. I expect he will then lose to a republican.
He was doing so well until he traded his spending vote to Biden in return of a new big pipeline to WV. And then they took the pipeline back when it was too late for him to do anything about it.
| by Anonymous | reply 270 | October 26, 2022 12:32 PM |
Manchin might switch to Republican in January
| by Anonymous | reply 271 | October 26, 2022 12:42 PM |
R267, unlike MAGAts (&, sadly, some on the Dem side), I'm not a fact denier. I've been a political junkie far too long to not be able to read the (obvious) tea leaves.
| by Anonymous | reply 272 | October 26, 2022 1:24 PM |
I see the "doom and gloom" trolls have taken over this thread. Early voting numbers in Georgia are off the charts (in a mid-term election no less). That bodes well for the Democrats. These are going to be tight races to be sure, but I think the trolls on here delight in trying to make Democratic leaning voters anxious. Everyone should just vote and we'll see what happens in November.
| by Anonymous | reply 273 | October 26, 2022 3:27 PM |
Yeah, we don’t know if early voters are expanding the Democratic pie or just front loading it to before Election Day. In previous elections, Democrats have looked great in early voting, but Election Day voters have been lopsided Republican. Will Election Day voters be greater than early voters? We don’t know yet
| by Anonymous | reply 275 | October 26, 2022 3:39 PM |
We know Republicans will stampede the polls on November 8
| by Anonymous | reply 276 | October 26, 2022 3:40 PM |
[quote] We know
Oh Swami, can you also tell us who will win the World Series, which stocks are going to skyrocket, and who will win The Voice?
| by Anonymous | reply 277 | October 26, 2022 3:43 PM |
Democrats are adding millions in television spending to boost Sen. Patty Murray, a sign that the party is employing a take-no-chances approach even in solidly blue Washington state.
The 30-year veteran of the Senate is facing a challenge from Republican Tiffany Smiley, a political newcomer whose campaign has seized on quality-of-life issues, from urban crime and homelessness to inflation, to tarnish Murray. In recent public polling, Smiley has closed a sizable gap since this summer, when Murray led by 18 percentage points in an 18-candidate, all-party primary.
A Seattle Times poll released last week showed Murray slipping slightly, from 51 percent in a July survey to 49 percent now, with Smiley’s support increasing from 33 percent this summer to 41 percent now. The poll also finds that Smiley has improved with independents in the state, capturing 50 percent of their support to Murray’s 34 percent.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 279 | October 26, 2022 11:05 PM |
Chuck's cousin with a visual explainer:
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 281 | October 26, 2022 11:19 PM |
I finally saw an ad for Luke Mixon on TV today (Louisiana). Pulled up a sample ballot and there are about 10 people running for Senate, so unless every Republican votes for Kennedy it will go to a runoff in December. Maybe the Democrats will give him some money then.
| by Anonymous | reply 282 | October 27, 2022 12:04 AM |
How to be both the lead candidate and the underdog:
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 283 | October 27, 2022 12:33 AM |
If the Dems lose big, what do you think the main reason will be?
1) Bad candidates (Fetterman, Katie Hobbs, Mandela Barnes, etc)
2) The crime issue (just saying they're not for defunding wasn't enough)
3) Pushing abortion in their ads, when it's inflation and crime that have people pissed
4) Something else?
| by Anonymous | reply 284 | October 27, 2022 12:47 AM |
^ Easy. Something else. The worst inflation numbers in 40 years.
| by Anonymous | reply 285 | October 27, 2022 12:49 AM |
I think the Dems keep the Senate (they flip PA, OH and possibly WI and keep GA) but lose the House.
Or it remains 50/50. I don't think the Repugs take the Senate.
If they do, all bets are off and it will be a very ugly two years.
| by Anonymous | reply 286 | October 27, 2022 12:53 AM |
^ If the Dems lose the Senate, it could be a long time in the minority since the ‘24 landscape is most daunting.
| by Anonymous | reply 287 | October 27, 2022 2:12 AM |
Yep, and Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania are trending redder and redder. The number of states that won’t vote Democratic under any circumstances is growing
| by Anonymous | reply 288 | October 27, 2022 2:23 AM |
North Carolina is fool’s gold. Always close but never blue
| by Anonymous | reply 289 | October 27, 2022 2:24 AM |
[quote] Yep, and Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania are trending redder
82 electoral votes in 2024
| by Anonymous | reply 290 | October 27, 2022 3:33 AM |
Hillary is right. The election will be stolen in 2024 and of course Marble Mouth Nancy and Weak Chuck will STILL be in office scolding Trump for stealing the election. Then Nancy and Chuck will wimp out and step aside and do nothing like when the GOP steals the SCOTUS seats. Democrats have wimps not protectors.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 291 | October 27, 2022 3:56 AM |
The election deniers are starting early
| by Anonymous | reply 292 | October 27, 2022 4:09 AM |
R292 = The Election STEALERS started about a year and a half ago. They saw how easy it was to steal SCOTUS seats from the wimpy Democrats and figured the White House was the next way to go. And of course Nancy will be 90 and sitting behind her desk complaining and doing nothing except trying to cover up whats on her breath..I am a Democrat and I am tired of ALL of these ancient politicians.
| by Anonymous | reply 293 | October 27, 2022 4:13 AM |
We need young battle ready Democrats, the next two years are going to be horrific!
| by Anonymous | reply 294 | October 27, 2022 4:45 AM |
Democrats can’t even rally after radical Supreme Court decisions. Republicans see how weak they are, and are gonna push the pedal to the medal now
| by Anonymous | reply 295 | October 27, 2022 10:46 AM |
Will that be a medal made of metal?
| by Anonymous | reply 296 | October 27, 2022 10:52 AM |
[quote] the next two years are going to be horrific!
As if the last two years have been a time of joy
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 297 | October 27, 2022 6:48 PM |
R297, you have different values and priorities than we do. We care more about equality, civil rights, justice, civility, and democratic institutions, than $7 gas. We have morals.
| by Anonymous | reply 298 | October 27, 2022 7:00 PM |
What can be more moral than hungry kids so virtue signalers can can tweet how righteous they are.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 299 | October 27, 2022 7:10 PM |
R300 The sparsely populated counties (typically GQP) are much easier to tally up the votes because fewer people live there. In the urban areas (typically Democratic), you might still have a two or three hour long line when the polls close so it takes longer to tally the votes there. Hence it APPEARS to dummies that the GQP is winning but then there's this "suspicious" shift to Democratic votes later on.
Don't fall for it people.
| by Anonymous | reply 301 | October 27, 2022 9:23 PM |
R300 = Nailed it. Hershel Walker and Warnock will BOTH be claiming victory. Then what?....And the voter intimidation at the voter boxes in Arizona!!
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 302 | October 28, 2022 1:21 AM |
Geraldo lays his money on the line
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 303 | October 28, 2022 2:13 AM |
How big do we now fear McConnell’s majority will be? 54, maybe 55, seats?
| by Anonymous | reply 304 | October 28, 2022 4:24 AM |
^ I think 52 is the outermost number.
| by Anonymous | reply 305 | October 28, 2022 4:35 AM |
^ I see the possibility of AZ & GA flipping, getting the number up from 50 to 52. What would be the third?
| by Anonymous | reply 307 | October 28, 2022 4:42 AM |
Nope, Democrats hold the Senate, you’ll see…
| by Anonymous | reply 309 | October 28, 2022 5:20 AM |
Nevada, of course, R307. I don’t know how I missed that.
| by Anonymous | reply 311 | October 28, 2022 10:56 AM |
[quote] you have different values and priorities than we do. We care more about equality, civil rights, justice, civility, and democratic institutions, than $7 gas. We have morals.
People need to keep a roof over their heads and food in their kids’ bellies. You’re exactly what is wrong with the Democratic Party. You’re a fucking clueless idiot.
| by Anonymous | reply 312 | October 28, 2022 11:06 AM |
Don’t dismiss out of hand the possibility of NH flipping, too, adding to McConnell’s new majority.
| by Anonymous | reply 313 | October 28, 2022 11:15 AM |
RCP Projection
GOP picks up Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia
53 to 47
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 314 | October 28, 2022 5:22 PM |
More than 15 million voters have already cast their midterm ballots, according to the United States Elections Project. But young voters have contributed to a smaller fraction of that turnout compared to this time two years ago, according to interviews and a POLITICO analysis of voter data.
The party has had high hopes that younger voters motivated by the Supreme Court’s scuttling of abortion rights and President Joe Biden’s cancellation of some student debt would turn out in force — and help them to defy losses that the party in power typically suffers in midterm elections. They could still show up to the polls on Election Day. But their disappearance from the ranks of early voters so far puts Democrats at a disadvantage, because the party still has to chase their votes instead of banking them ahead of Nov. 8.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 315 | October 28, 2022 7:37 PM |
^ OMG, it would be so sweet to send that old asshole Grassley to the unemployment line.
| by Anonymous | reply 317 | October 29, 2022 1:58 AM |
^ It would be, but I'm not going to be suckered into believing that, especially in this likely red tsunami, deep red Iowa's going to go blue.
| by Anonymous | reply 318 | October 29, 2022 4:31 AM |
[quote]Biden to run again, which will lead to DeSantis (or worse) becoming president.
He will be President no matter who runs against him.
| by Anonymous | reply 319 | October 29, 2022 10:50 AM |
R320, Tim Ryan would surge ahead in the polls if he arranged for a pic of his huge cock to be “leaked” and then cry foul play.
| by Anonymous | reply 321 | October 29, 2022 6:57 PM |
What was that about Ryan being a class act?
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 322 | October 30, 2022 2:53 AM |
Off Topic:
Denver Post Editorial Board:
[quote] We beg voters in western and southern Colorado not to give Rep. Lauren Boebert their vote. Boebert has not represented the 3rd Congressional District well. Almost exclusively, she has spent her time and efforts contributing to the toxic political environment in this nation. The good people in this district are not angry and abrasive; they are not hateful and caustic; they do not boast of their own prowess or sling insults as entertainment.
[quote] In her primary, Boebert called a man born and raised in Montrose County a groomer – a term for a gay man who sexually abuses children. The remark, directed at Don Coram, a conservative Republican and rancher whose son happens to be gay, is just one example of Boebert’s casual yet crass cruelty, which she puts on display on a daily basis while in Washington, D.C.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 323 | October 30, 2022 12:35 PM |
[quote] note how partisan pollsters like Rasmussen try to skew the poll averages by producing outlier leads (R+5) for their party. Unfortunately polling composites like 538 are not entirely resistant to being gamed in this way.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 324 | October 30, 2022 12:50 PM |
Wasn't Kari Lake an Obama delegate in 2008?
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 325 | October 31, 2022 1:44 AM |
^ In the grand tradition of Republican idols, e.g., Reagan, Trump, she was formerly a Democrat.
| by Anonymous | reply 326 | October 31, 2022 5:52 AM |
Getting the band back together...
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 327 | October 31, 2022 2:41 PM |
I'd given up on the Dems chances to hold onto to the Senate, but then I see the new NYT poll. It has Fetterman +5, Warnock +3 & Kelly +6, with Nevada tied. Keep hope alive!
| by Anonymous | reply 328 | October 31, 2022 3:16 PM |
[quote] The A+-rated NYT poll.
With those extreme numbers, it will be interesting to see how the poll is judged after the election. Pollsters need to be held accountable.
| by Anonymous | reply 331 | October 31, 2022 4:21 PM |
If Democrats perform better than expected and win a lot of these races, the deniers will use the skewed polling as a means to further foment violence and claim the elections were all rigged.
| by Anonymous | reply 332 | October 31, 2022 4:24 PM |
I’m eager for the bad polls to be wrong. I would love to be surprised
| by Anonymous | reply 333 | October 31, 2022 4:56 PM |
^ I'm eager for the good polls, e.g., NYT, to be right.
| by Anonymous | reply 334 | October 31, 2022 5:03 PM |
So much for the encouraging NYT poll. 538's just updated Senate forecast has it as a 50-50 dead heat.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 335 | October 31, 2022 10:03 PM |
So much for the hope that Mike Lee was going down.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 336 | November 1, 2022 12:30 AM |
Saw a Kennedy ad tonight in Louisiana. He's taking credit for stuff he voted against.
| by Anonymous | reply 337 | November 1, 2022 12:48 AM |
[quote] Mike Lee was going down
I don't think I need the image of that goblin going down on anything.
| by Anonymous | reply 338 | November 1, 2022 1:21 AM |
The Libertarian candidate in the AZ Senate race has dropped out & endorsed Masters.
| by Anonymous | reply 339 | November 1, 2022 3:35 PM |
[quote] This tells you everything about how awful WI's Republican gerrymander is (w/ the undemocratic US Sup Court overriding WI's Sup Court).
[quote] The state's voters are split 50-50 Rep/Dem in a good year for Reps...but those same votes will produce a giant Rep majority in the legislature.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 340 | November 1, 2022 4:11 PM |
Elections (usually) aren't won in August.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 344 | November 3, 2022 1:47 PM |
Early voting stats look dismal for Democrats in Nevada? Where is the Democratic machine?
| by Anonymous | reply 345 | November 3, 2022 5:53 PM |
[quote] Where is the Democratic machine?
Maybe it died with Harry Reid.
| by Anonymous | reply 346 | November 3, 2022 6:19 PM |
R345 This was from the first day of early voting in Washoe County. Turnout was much higher than normal for a midterm. Where are you getting your information that early voting looked dismal for Democrats?
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 347 | November 3, 2022 6:43 PM |
Does an endorsement from Liz Cheney make anyone change their vote?
| by Anonymous | reply 348 | November 3, 2022 6:52 PM |
R347, see Jon Ralston’s twitter account
| by Anonymous | reply 349 | November 3, 2022 7:10 PM |
UPDATE: The early voting blog is updated, via @RalstonReports.
Dems statewide lead has shrunk to almost nothing as mail ballots have not been heavy.
Details on the blog.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 350 | November 3, 2022 7:14 PM |
Jesus Christ, they both look like Vulcan's or something.
| by Anonymous | reply 351 | November 3, 2022 7:14 PM |
Democrats may be poised for cataclysmic losses in NH, NV, and PA
| by Anonymous | reply 352 | November 3, 2022 7:15 PM |
If Georgia goes to a runoff, Walker wins
| by Anonymous | reply 353 | November 3, 2022 7:17 PM |
Jon Ralston: THE EARLY VOTING BLOG IS UPDATED!
Numbers tell the story, and it is not a good one for the Dems:
Clark firewall is low, rural landslide is deep and Washoe is about even.
Dem statewide lead is 1.5 percent, which is a very small margin for error.
Not like recent cycles at all.
| by Anonymous | reply 354 | November 3, 2022 7:18 PM |
“Democrats across the country scrambled Thursday to bolster candidates in places President Biden carried safely in 2020, the latest sign of panic that they could face major losses in next week’s midterm elections,” the Washington Post reports.
“As Republicans have focused on inflation and crime to go on offense in Democratic territory over the past month — competing in traditionally blue districts in California, Oregon, New York, Illinois and elsewhere — there’s a growing sense among Democrats that there’s little they can do at this point to combat the combined forces of history and economics.”
| by Anonymous | reply 355 | November 4, 2022 2:36 AM |
Ryan Matsumoto
@ryanmatsumoto1 · Follow NEW Marist Senate polls - overall a decent batch of polls for Democrats.
Arizona: Kelly +4 (RV) Kelly +3 (Definite Voters)
Georgia: Warnock +4 (RV) Tied (Definite Voters)
Pennsylvania: Fetterman +6 (RV) Fetterman +6 (Definite
| by Anonymous | reply 357 | November 4, 2022 1:18 PM |
I find it interesting that Obama coming to Nevada to stump for Cortez-Masto and Governor Sisolak is framed by the right as "the Democrats are desperate and afraid of losing in Nevada so they send in Obama."
Excuse me, why WOULDN'T you send an incredibly popular former President to campaign for his own party? And some in the media (like the Andrea Mitchell types) just parrot these right wing narratives. It drives me nuts.
| by Anonymous | reply 358 | November 4, 2022 4:12 PM |
I didn’t even realize there was a senate election in my state this year until recently. There are no campaign ads for that office and almost none this year for any other office. The election outcomes for who will win are all pretty set. The real elections are the primaries. Only the local school board election is having any contention. I’m happy not to be inundated with campaign ads like some places are experiencing.
| by Anonymous | reply 359 | November 4, 2022 5:11 PM |
[quote]I find it interesting that Obama coming to Nevada to stump for Cortez-Masto and Governor Sisolak is framed by the right as "the Democrats are desperate and afraid of losing in Nevada so they send in Obama."
Because if it were a reliably secure seat (and not on the bubble) they wouldn't need Obama there and would use valuable resources (like a popular former president) elsewhere.
| by Anonymous | reply 360 | November 4, 2022 5:14 PM |
I assume Marist is not considered a “junk” pollster, but a sudden magical +6 lead for Fetterman right before the election that has no relation to anything that could explain it, does seem like a junk result. Only the actual election results will show how accurate this is. If Oz wins, I hope Marist is held accountable afterward.
| by Anonymous | reply 361 | November 4, 2022 5:16 PM |
R360 I was making a point about media narratives. When Trump goes somewhere to campaign for somebody it's never framed as "Herschel Walker is desperate, so they send in Trump." Even the so-called liberal media like MSNBC tends to buy into the narratives set by the right.
| by Anonymous | reply 362 | November 4, 2022 5:19 PM |
GOP: This is CRINGE!!!
Pittsburgh: Awww...I remember that...
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 365 | November 4, 2022 5:41 PM |
[quote]it's never framed as "Herschel Walker is desperate, so they send in Trump."
I don’t think anyone ever sends in Trump. He decides what he is going to do and everyone then either gets out out the way or joins him. Many probably just pray that he doesn’t choose to appear near them.
| by Anonymous | reply 366 | November 4, 2022 5:42 PM |
[quote] Democrats may be poised for cataclysmic losses in NH, NV, and PA
Shapiro will win in PA.
| by Anonymous | reply 367 | November 4, 2022 5:43 PM |
Well at least we have that
| by Anonymous | reply 368 | November 4, 2022 5:45 PM |
Here's my tinfoil hat theory: I think the right is flooding boards like this and the rest of the media with the "Dems are going to lose in a landslide" talk so that when they do well and win a lot of these races, it'll give them more justification to say it was all rigged and they won't concede. They'll also point to all of the right-wing polls that said that Republicans were going to win in a landslide. The Republican machine will continue to rile up their lunatic base to commit more acts of violence. After all, just look at all of the "jokes" from Kari Lake, Glenn Youngkin, etc. over an elderly man being assaulted with a hammer--their voters cheered that on, I think they'd totally be down with MORE violence directed at Democrats.
1/6 is not over--it's an ongoing insurrection.
| by Anonymous | reply 369 | November 4, 2022 5:56 PM |
R369, but Democratic commentators and insiders are also saying Democrats are flailing
| by Anonymous | reply 370 | November 4, 2022 6:03 PM |
^ Well, at least R369 acknowledged it was a “tinfoil hat” theory.
| by Anonymous | reply 371 | November 4, 2022 8:01 PM |
ARIZONA POLLING Trends by Emerson College with leaners
Sept: Mark Kelly (D-inc): 46.7% (+1.7) Blake Masters (R): 45%
NOW: Blake Masters (R): 48.1 (+0.4) Mark Kelly (D-inc): 47.7%
⦿ 2.1 point swing towards Masters by one of the best AZ 2020 pollsters (Kelly +3 vs Kelly +2.4)
| by Anonymous | reply 372 | November 4, 2022 9:02 PM |
The Hill's fnal rankings.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 373 | November 5, 2022 1:15 PM |
What a thoughtful, calming and rational response.
It would be (a miracle but) such a blessing if he prevailed over the fossil Grassley.
Offsite Link| by Anonymous | reply 374 | November 5, 2022 7:39 PM |
^ The new Fox poll has Grassley up by 6.
| by Anonymous | reply 375 | November 6, 2022 2:55 AM |
Simon Rosenberg: States where Ds are running ahead of 2020 - AZ, GA, IA, IN, MI, NC, NV, NY, OH, PA, TX, VA, WA, WI.
GA, MI, OH, PA, WI have seen biggest jumps since 2020.
Beto had a huge week in Texas.
Clear field operations kicking in now, D lead is growing across US.
It's exciting.
| by Anonymous | reply 376 | November 6, 2022 1:12 PM |
Don’t get excited about anything-VOTE. Only VOTE.
| by Anonymous | reply 377 | November 6, 2022 1:21 PM |
But what if I voted back in September?
| by Anonymous | reply 378 | November 6, 2022 1:38 PM |
Didn't you all hear? The voting date for Republican voters has been changed to November 9. If you intend to vote for Republicans, the date has been changed to November 9, as per the dictates of King Donald. I repeat, the greatest President ever has said that you should turn in your ballot on November 9.
| by Anonymous | reply 379 | November 6, 2022 1:52 PM |
Alas, R376, Simon Rosenberg is a party apparatchik.
| by Anonymous | reply 380 | November 6, 2022 2:15 PM |
^ Jon Ralston, who is the go-to guy for Nevada politics & always seems to be spot-on with his predictions, is now saying, cautiously, that Cortez Masto will win re-election. We’ve been told that whichever party wins 2 of the 3 races in NV, GA & PA will control the Senate, so this would be good news. And I’m one who heretofore was convinced that, like the House, the Senate was a goner.
| by Anonymous | reply 382 | November 8, 2022 11:30 AM |
Masto should have been thinking about re-election the last two years instead of voting in Congress like she couldn’t lose.
| by Anonymous | reply 383 | November 8, 2022 12:36 PM |
^ Nevada seems to always have close Senate elections, so I wouldn't pin this on Cortez Masto. Getting re-elected there, in this climate, would be quite a feat for her.
| by Anonymous | reply 384 | November 8, 2022 2:09 PM |
Larry Sabato also believes the Dems will hold Nevada. He also thinks Kelly will win in Arizona. But he has the Republicans netting one seat - & thus gaining Senate control - by flipping Georgia & holding on to Pennsylvania.
| by Anonymous | reply 385 | November 8, 2022 2:26 PM |
Voting is robust here this am in Pennsylvania, lines are sizable, people engaged, all in for Fetterman, at least at this precinct. LARGE number of African American women who are all enjoying the process here as well.
| by Anonymous | reply 386 | November 8, 2022 2:34 PM |
Dave Wasserman: It's pretty apparent from precinct-level data in VA and county-level data in FL that Democrats have a turnout problem today - one that's unlikely to be solved in the next six hours.
| by Anonymous | reply 387 | November 8, 2022 5:23 PM |
Will Joy Behar stroke out on “The View” tomorrow?
| by Anonymous | reply 388 | November 8, 2022 9:03 PM |
